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30-Year Mortgage Rates Continue to Ease

Today's Mortgage Rates & Trends - March 21, 2024
Rates on 30-year mortgages continued to move lower Wednesday, following declines of over a tenth of a percent earlier this week. That further offsets some of last week's three-day climb to the mid-7% range, and drops the flagship average to 7.32%. Almost all other loan types, both new purchase and refi, moved lower or held steady.
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Rates vary widely across lenders, so it's always smart to shop around for your best mortgage option and compare rates regularly, no matter the type of home loan you're seeking.

National Averages of Lenders' Best Rates
Loan Type New Purchase Refinance
30-Year Fixed 7.32% 7.77%
FHA 30-Year Fixed 7.33% 7.78%
Jumbo 30-Year Fixed 6.95% 6.95%
15-Year Fixed 6.66% 6.85%
5/6 ARM 7.74% 7.76%
National averages of the lowest rates offered by more than 200 of the country's top lenders, with a loan-to-value ratio (LTV) of 80%, an applicant with a FICO credit score of 700–760, and no mortgage points.

Today's Mortgage Rate Averages: New Purchase

Rates on 30-year new purchase mortgages fell another 2 basis points Wednesday, after dropping 11 basis points on the previous two days this week. That's welcome news after the flagship average added 34 points over the second half of last week. The current average is now down to 7.32%.
Given that 30-year rates sank into 6% territory at the start of February, current rates are still elevated. But they're dramatically cheaper than in October, when the 30-year average notched a historic 23-year peak of 8.45%.
Rates on 15-year new purchase loans dipped by a single basis point on Wednesday, lowering the average to 6.66%. Though current rates are significantly pricier than the seven-month low of 6.10% we saw just before the new year, they're still much more affordable than last fall's 7.59% average—a peak since 2000.
Jumbo 30-year rates marked time for a third day Friday. Holding at 6.95%, the average matches its highest mark since November. Although daily historical jumbo rates were not available before 2009, it's estimated the 7.52% peak reached last October was the most expensive jumbo 30-year average in more than 20 years.
Most other new purchase averages either held steady or showed minimal movement on Wednesday. The only rate increase was seen for VA 30-year loans, which rose by 6 basis points.
National Averages of Lenders' Best Rates - New Purchase
Loan Type New Purchase Rates Daily Change
30-Year Fixed 7.32% -0.02
FHA 30-Year Fixed 7.33% No Change
VA 30-Year Fixed 7.14% +0.06
Jumbo 30-Year Fixed 6.95% No Change
20-Year Fixed 7.08% -0.05
15-Year Fixed 6.66% -0.01
FHA 15-Year Fixed 6.82% +0.01
Jumbo 15-Year Fixed 6.91% No Change
10-Year Fixed 6.56% -0.02
10/6 ARM 7.57% -0.05
7/6 ARM 7.55% -0.05
Jumbo 7/6 ARM 6.58% No Change
5/6 ARM 7.74% No Change
Jumbo 5/6 ARM 6.68% No Change

The Weekly Freddie Mac Average

Every Thursday afternoon, Freddie Mac publishes a weekly average of 30-year mortgage rates, and this week's reading tacked on 13 basis points to rise to 6.87%. Back in late October, Freddie Mac's average reached a historic peak of 7.79%—its most expensive level in 23 years. But since then, it has come down significantly, registering a recent low of 6.60% in mid-January.

Freddie Mac’s average differs from our own 30-year average for two notable reasons. First, Freddie Mac calculates a weekly average that blends five previous days of rates, while our Investopedia averages are daily, offering a more precise and timely indicator of rate movement. Second, the rates included in Freddie Mac's survey can include loans priced with discount points, while Investopedia’s averages only include zero-point loans.

Today's Mortgage Rate Averages: Refinancing

Wednesday refinancing rates were similarly flat or down for most loan types. The 30-year refi average pulled back by 8 basis points, leaving the spread between 30-year new purchase and refi rates at 45 basis points.
Only one refi average rose Wednesday, with VA 30-year refi rates moving up slightly by 2 basis points. Non-jumbo adjustable rate refi rates declined by single-digit basis points whereas all other refi averages were flat or roughly steady Wednesday.
National Averages of Lenders' Best Rates - Refinance
Loan Type Refinance Rates Daily Change
30-Year Fixed 7.77% -0.08
FHA 30-Year Fixed 7.78% -0.01
VA 30-Year Fixed 7.63% +0.02
Jumbo 30-Year Fixed 6.95% No Change
20-Year Fixed 7.42% -0.03
15-Year Fixed 6.85% No Change
FHA 15-Year Fixed 6.96% No Change
Jumbo 15-Year Fixed 6.91% No Change
10-Year Fixed 6.79% No Change
10/6 ARM 7.76% -0.03
7/6 ARM 7.81% -0.05
Jumbo 7/6 ARM 6.68% No Change
5/6 ARM 7.76% -0.04
Jumbo 5/6 ARM 6.68% No Change

Calculate monthly payments for different loan scenarios with our Mortgage Calculator.

The rates you see here generally won’t compare directly with teaser rates you see advertised online, since those rates are cherry-picked as the most attractive, while these rates are averages. Teaser rates may involve paying points in advance, or they may be selected based on a hypothetical borrower with an ultra-high credit score or taking a smaller-than-typical loan. The mortgage rate you ultimately secure will be based on factors like your credit score, income, and more, so it may be higher or lower than the averages you see here.

Lowest Mortgage Rates by State

The lowest mortgage rates available vary depending on the state where originations occur. Mortgage rates can be influenced by state-level variations in credit score, average mortgage loan type, and size, in addition to individual lenders' varying risk management strategies.
The states with the cheapest 30-year new purchase rates were Mississippi, Louisiana, Hawaii, Iowa, and Vermont, while the states with the most expensive rates were Minnesota, Arizona, Idaho, Nevada, Washington, and Oregon.

What Causes Mortgage Rates to Rise or Fall?

Mortgage rates are determined by a complex interaction of macroeconomic and industry factors, such as:
Because fluctuations can be caused by any number of these at once, it's generally difficult to attribute the change to any one factor.

Macroeconomic factors kept the mortgage market relatively low for much of 2021. In particular, the Federal Reserve had been buying billions of dollars of bonds in response to the pandemic's economic pressures. This bond-buying policy is a major influencer of mortgage rates.

But starting in November 2021, the Fed began tapering its bond purchases downward, making sizable reductions each month until reaching net zero in March 2022.

Between that time and July 2023, the Fed aggressively raised the federal funds rate to fight decades-high inflation. While the fed funds rate can influence mortgage rates, it does not directly do so. In fact, the fed funds rate and mortgage rates can move in opposite directions.

But given the historic speed and magnitude of the Fed's 2022 and 2023 rate increases—raising the benchmark rate 5.25 percentage points over 16 months—even the indirect influence of the fed funds rate has resulted in a dramatic upward impact on mortgage rates over the last two years.

The Fed has been maintaining the federal funds rate at its current level since July, with a fifth consecutive rate hold announced March 20. Although inflation has come down considerably, it is still above the Fed's target level of 2%. Until the central bank feels confident inflation is falling sufficiently and reliably, it has said it is hesitant to start cutting rates.

Still, Fed committee members do collectively expect to reduce rates in 2024. The March 20 meeting included the latest installment of the Fed's "dot plot" forecast, which showed that the median expectation among the 19 Fed members is for three rate decreases—totaling 0.75 percentage points—by year's end. The dot plot also shows similar expected rate cuts in 2025 and 2026.

The Fed will hold six more meetings this year, with the next scheduled for June 11-12.

How We Track Mortgage Rates

The national averages cited above were calculated based on the lowest rate offered by more than 200 of the country's top lenders, assuming a loan-to-value ratio (LTV) of 80% and an applicant with a FICO credit score in the 700–760 range. The resulting rates are representative of what customers should expect to see when receiving actual quotes from lenders based on their qualifications, which may vary from advertised teaser rates.

For our map of the best state rates, the lowest rate currently offered by a surveyed lender in that state is listed, assuming the same parameters of an 80% LTV and a credit score between 700–760.
Article Sources
Investopedia requires writers to use primary sources to support their work. These include white papers, government data, original reporting, and interviews with industry experts. We also reference original research from other reputable publishers where appropriate. You can learn more about the standards we follow in producing accurate, unbiased content in our editorial policy.
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